An Exponential Autoregressive Time Series Model for Complex Data

Mathematics(2023)

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摘要
In this paper, an exponential autoregressive model for complex time series data is presented. As for estimating the parameters of this nonlinear model, a three-step procedure based on quantile methods is proposed. This quantile-based estimation technique has the benefit of being more robust compared to least/absolute squares. The performance of the introduced exponential autoregressive model is evaluated by means of four established goodness-of-fit criteria. The practical utility of the novel time series model is showcased through a comparative analysis involving simulation studies and real-world data illustrations.
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关键词
AR model,ARMA model,fuzzy nonlinear time series,fuzzy data,time series analysis
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