Preoperative MRI features to predict vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters and microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective: To estimate the potential of preoperative MRI features in the prediction of the integration patterns of vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters (VETC) and microvascular invasion (MVI) (VM) patterns in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after resection and to assess the prognostic value of VM patterns. Materials and Methods: Patients who underwent surgical resection for HCC between July 2019 and July 2020 were retrospectively included in the training cohort and validation cohort. In the training cohort, patients were classified into VM-positive HCC (VM-HCC) and VM-negative HCC (non-VM HCC). Predictors associated with VM-HCC were determined by using logistic regression analyses and used to build a prediction model of VM-HCC. The model was tested in the validation cohort by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. Prognostic factors associated with early recurrence of HCC were evaluated by use of Cox logistic regression analyses.Results: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level higher than 400 ng/mL (odds ratio [OR] = 8.0; 95% CI: 2.6-25.2; P < 0.001), non-smooth tumor margin (OR = 3.1; 95% CI: 1.4-6.0; P < 0.001) and peritumoral arterial enhancement (OR = 2.9; 95% CI: 1.4-6.2; P = 0.004) were independent predictors of VM-HCC. The AUCs of the prediction model for VM-HCC were 0.81 for the training cohort and 0.79 for the validation cohort. The high risk of VM-HCC predicted by the three preoperative predictors derived from the prediction model (hazard ratio [HR] 2.0; 95% CI: 1.3, 3.2; P = 0.003) were independently associated with early recurrence, while pathologically confirmed VM-HCC (HR 2.8; 95% CI: 1.6, 3.8; P < 0.001) and satellite nodules (HR 1.8; 95% CI: 1.1, 3.1; P = 0.025) were independently associated with early recurrence after surgical resection.Conclusion: The predictive model can be used to predict VM patterns. VM-HCC is associated with increased risk of early recurrence after surgical resection in HCC.