Revisiting the utility of prenatal ultrasound in the routine workup of first febrile UTI: A systematic review and meta-analysis of the negative predictive value of prenatal ultrasound for identification of urinary tract abnormalities after first febrile urinary tract infection in children

ContextThe current EAU/ESPU and recently retired AAP pediatric UTI guidelines recommend renal bladder ultrasound after first febrile UTI in children to screen for structural abnormalities, regardless of findings on prenatal ultrasound.Objective Test the hypothesis that a normal prenatal ultrasound could rule out urinary tract abnormality on post-UTI ultrasound. Data sources Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library.Study selection Studies including pediatric patients with first febrile UTI who had both prenatal and post-UTI ultrasound.Data extraction Anatomical abnormalities detected by prenatal and post-UTI ultrasound as reported per individual study criteria were extracted.Meta-analyses of 9 studies (2981 patients) were performed using a random effects model and composite estimates of the negative predictive value (NPV) of prenatal ultrasound were calculated. Results Overall summary NPV of prenatal ultrasound for all pediatric patients was 77%, with heterogeneity score (I2) 97.9%. Summary NPV of prenatal ultrasound for all patients under two years of age was similar at 75%, with I2 98.2% For the 4 studies to which we could apply a more stringent definition of abnormality, summary NPV was 85% and I2 97.5% for prediction of moderate post-UTI ultrasound abnormalities and summary NPV was 93% and I2 90.4% for severe abnormalities.Discussion While we calculated an 85% NPV for a normal prenatal ultrasound to rule out significant postnatal abnormality as defined within individual studies, substantial heterogeneity amongst publications limited the precision of our estimates. This highlights the need for more rigorous investigations with attention to timing of ultrasound and the application of clinically meaningful definitions for abnormal prenatal and post-UTI studies. This may allow judicious use of prenatal ultrasound to guide clinical management for children with first febrile UTI and minimize redundant imaging with potential for false positive results. Until then, the current guidelines are justified based on the limited and heterogenous data from the currently available published studies.