Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action
arXiv (Cornell University)(2023)
Abstract
We propose to explore the sustainability of climate policies based on a novel
commitment metric. This metric allows to quantify how future generations' scope
of action is affected by short-term climate policy. In an example application,
we show that following a moderate emission scenario like SSP2-4.5 could commit
future generations to heavily rely on carbon dioxide removal or/and solar
radiation modification to avoid unmanageable sea level rise.
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Key words
options commitment,action,short-term,long-term
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