Model-based risk analysis during the pandemic: introducing ECB-BASIR

Elena Angelini,Matthieu Darracq Pariès,Srečko Zimic

Economic Bulletin Boxes（2021）

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摘要

We augment the ECB-BASE model using the predictive dynamics of an SIR model in order to assess the interplay between epidemiological fundamentals, containment policies and the macroeconomy, investigating the macro impact of pandemic-related risk factors associated with a medical solution to the COVID‑19 crisis. JEL Classification: E1, E3, I1

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关键词

risk analysis,model-based,ecb-basir

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