Prediction Model for Neurogenic Bladder Recovery One Year After Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury.

INTRODUCTION:Neurogenic bladder is a common complication after spinal cord injury (SCI) that carries substantial burdens on the inflicted individual. The objective of this study is to build a prediction model for neurogenic bladder recovery 1 year after traumatic SCI. METHODS:We queried the National Spinal Cord Injury Model Systems database for patients with traumatic SCI who had neurogenic bladder at the time of injury. The primary outcome of interest was the complete recovery of bladder function at 1 year. Multiple imputations were performed to generate replacement values for missing data, and the final imputed data were used for our analysis. A multivariable odds logistic regression model was developed for complete bladder recovery at 1 year. RESULTS:We identified a total of 2515 patients with abnormal bladder function at baseline who had an annual follow-up. A total of 417 patients (16.6%) recovered bladder function in 1 year. Predictors of complete bladder recovery included the following baseline parameters: sacral sensation, American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) impairment score, bowel function at baseline, voluntary sphincter contraction, anal sensation, S1 motor scores, and the number of days in the rehabilitation facility. The model performed with a discriminative capacity of 90.5%. CONCLUSIONS:We developed a prediction model for the probability of complete bladder recovery 1 year after SCI. The model performed with a high discriminative capacity. This prediction model demonstrates potential utility in the counseling, research allocation, and management of individuals with SCI.