Patch size and connectivity predict remnant habitat occupancy by an endangered wetland specialist, the salt marsh harvest mouse

Context The area-isolation paradigm of metapopulation theory predicts that larger and more connected patches have a higher probability of occupancy. Although it may be too simplistic for generalist terrestrial mammals, the area-isolation paradigm may be an effective tool for assessing patch-occupancy for habitat specialists. Objectives We tested predictions of the area-isolation paradigm for the endangered salt marsh harvest mouse ( Reithrodontomys raviventris ), a habitat specialist living in highly fragmented salt marsh habitat in the San Francisco Estuary (California, USA). Methods We surveyed for salt marsh harvest mice at 47 marsh patches throughout their range using a non-invasive genetic survey technique. We used occupancy modeling to estimate the effects of patch size, patch connectivity, matrix urbanization, and several habitat characteristics on occupancy probabilities. We evaluated occupancy at both coarse (e.g., among patches) and fine (e.g., within patches) spatial scales. Results Patch size, connectivity, and matrix urbanization had significant effects on patch-occupancy. Within patches, occupancy was positively related to the presence of high-tide escape vegetation. Our data also revealed the extirpation of several geographically distinct populations, consistent with expectations due to reduced patch sizes and connectivity over the past century. Conclusions Patterns of salt marsh harvest mouse patch-occupancy were consistent with the area-isolation paradigm. In addition, our models provide important guidelines of patch size and connectivity that can inform habitat conservation and restoration for this endangered species. Specifically, our data suggests that selecting restoration sites that are well-connected may be more beneficial than selecting larger, isolated sites.