Estimation and asymptotics for vector autoregressive models with unit roots and Markov switching trends

STOCHASTICS-AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PROBABILITY AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES(2023)

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摘要
We provide a formal definition of an M-state multivariate Markov switching (MS) trend, describe its asymptotic distribution, and consider vector autoregressive processes with MS trends which contain either unit roots or a stationary part. Then, we estimate the coefficients of such models via ordinary least squares (OLS), and determine the asymptotic distributions of OLS estimators in terms of functionals on a multivariate Brownian motion.
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关键词
autoregressive models,estimation,unit roots,trends,asymptotics
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