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Change of the CP ENSO’s Role in the Occurrence Frequency of Arctic Daily Warming Events Triggered by Atlantic Storms

npj climate and atmospheric science(2023)

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摘要
Arctic daily warming is gradually garnering the attention of academics. Here we discuss an interdecadal change around the mid-1980s in the role of the Central Pacific El Niño-Southern Oscillation (CP ENSO) in the occurrence frequency of Arctic daily warming events triggered by Atlantic storms in winter (called the Atlantic pattern-Arctic rapid tropospheric daily warming (A-RTDW) event) and the possible mechanism. Before the mid-1980s, the Central Pacific El Niño/La Niña events weakened/strengthened the Iceland Low (IL); the resulting anomalous northerly/southerly at the east of the IL prevented/favored the A-RTDW event occurrence by leading Atlantic storms away from/into the Arctic. Thus, the CP ENSO could affect the occurrence frequency of A-RTDW events by the CP ENSO/IL teleconnection. In contrast, this role hardly exists after the mid-1980s. Before the mid-1980s, the CP ENSO could affect the polar vortex by planetary wave propagation upwards into the stratosphere to create the CP ENSO/IL teleconnection; thereby, the CP ENSO and A-RTDW could establish a connection. However, after the mid-1980s, the planetary wave associated with CP ENSO could not propagate upwards into the stratosphere; thus, the ENSO/IL teleconnection disappears, resulting in CP ENSO having no effect on the occurrence frequency of A-RTDW events.
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关键词
Atmospheric dynamics,Projection and prediction,Earth Sciences,general,Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts,Atmospheric Sciences,Climatology,Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
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