Clinical, 3D Morphological, and Hemodynamic Risk Factors for Instability of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms

Purpose Neurosurgeons can manage unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs). However, the stability of UIAs under follow-up remains uncertain. This study aimed to examine the risk factors associated with the instability (rupture or growth) of UIAs during follow-up. Methods We obtained information on patients with UIA who underwent ≥ 6 months of the time of flight-magnetic resonance angiography (TOF-MRA) imaging follow-up in two centers. Computer-assisted semi-automated measurement (CASAM) techniques were used for recording morphological parameters and determining the growth of these aneurysms. We also recorded hemodynamic parameters at the beginning of the follow-up. The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to calculate hazard ratios with corresponding 95% confidence intervals for the clinical, morphological, and hemodynamic risk factors for aneurysm instability. Results A total of 304 aneurysms from 263 patients (80.4%) were included for analysis. The annual aneurysm growth rate was 4.7%. Significant predictive factors for aneurysm instability in the multivariate analysis were as follows: poorly controlled hypertension (hazard ratio (HR), 2.97 (95% CI, 1.27–6.98), P = 0.012); aneurysms located on posterior circulation (HR, 7.81 (95% CI, 2.28–26.73), P = 0.001), posterior communication artery (HR, 3.01 (95% CI, 1.07–8.46), P = 0.036), and cavernous carotid artery (HR, 3.78 (95% CI, 1.18–12.17), P = 0.026); and size ratio ≥ 0.87 (HR, 2.54 (95% CI, 1.14–5.68), P = 0.023). Conclusions The management of UIAs should focus on the control of hypertension during the follow-up. Aneurysms on the posterior communicating artery, posterior circulation, and cavernous carotid arteries require intensive surveillance or timely treatment.