Oxygen Uptake Efficiency Slope and Prognosis in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

The prognostic utility of the oxygen uptake efficiency slope (OUES) in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction is uncertain. In this post hoc analysis of the HF-ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training) trial (n = 2,074), we tested for associations of OUES and peak oxygen uptake (VO2) with heart failure hospitalization or cardiovascular death in multivariable Cox regression models, adjusting for minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production (VE/VCO2) slope and other important confounders. Harrell's C-statistics assessed the discriminatory performance of OUES and peak VO2. Lower OUES was associated with increased risk of the outcome (quartile 1 vs 4: hazard ratio 2.1 [1.5 to 2.9, p <0.001]). Peak VO2 had greater discrimination than OUES in comparable models (e.g., C-statistic = 0.73 vs 0.70, p <0.001, respectively). In the subgroup with respiratory exchange ratio <1 (n = 358), peak VO2 was associated with the outcome (p <0.001) but OUES was not (p = 0.96). In conclusion, whereas OUES was associated with clinical outcomes independently of VE/VCO2 slope, its prognostic utility was inferior to that of peak VO2, even when measured at submaximal effort.