Host genetic determinants of COVID-19 susceptibility and severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with susceptibility and severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, identified SNPs are inconsistent across studies, and there is no compelling consensus that COVID-19 status is determined by genetic factors. Here, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the effect of genetic factors on COVID-19. A random-effect meta-analysis was performed to estimate pooled odds ratios (ORs) of SNP effects, and SNP-based heritability (SNP-h(2)) of COVID-19. The analyses were performed using meta-R package, and Stata version 17. The meta-analysis included a total of 96,817 COVID-19 cases and 6,414,916 negative controls. The meta-analysis showed that a cluster of highly correlated 9 SNPs (R-2 > 0.9) at 3p21.31 gene locus covering LZTFL1 and SLC6A20 genes was significantly associated with COVID-19 severity, with a pooled OR of 1.8 [1.5-2.0]. Meanwhile, another 3 SNPs (rs2531743-G, rs2271616-T, and rs73062389-A) within the locus was associated with COVID-19 susceptibility, with pooled estimates of 0.95 [0.93-0.96], 1.23 [1.19-1.27] and 1.15 [1.13-1.17], respectively. Interestingly, SNPs associated with susceptibility and SNPs associated with severity in this locus are in linkage equilibrium (R-2 < 0.026). The SNP-h(2) on the liability scale for severity and susceptibility was estimated at 7.6% (Se = 3.2%) and 4.6% (Se = 1.5%), respectively. Genetic factors contribute to COVID-19 susceptibility and severity. In the 3p21.31 locus, SNPs that are associated with susceptibility are not in linkage disequilibrium (LD) with SNPs that are associated with severity, indicating within-locus heterogeneity.