Soil bulk density and altitude are primary drivers of soil water content and soil temperature in the Three Rivers Headwaters Region, China

Soil water content (SWC) and soil temperature (ST) are important indicators of environmental change in permafrost regions. In this study, we conducted soil sampling at 89 locations in the Three Rivers Headwaters Region (TRHR) to investigate the individual and synergistic effects of environmental factors on SWC and ST. We used multivariable regression and random forest modelling to analyse the data. The results show that SWC and ST were higher in the southeast TRHR than in the northwest and higher in surface layers than deeper soil layers. The most important factors affecting SWC in the 0-20 cm and 20-40 cm soil layers were soil bulk density and precipitation, while bulk density was the most important factor in the 40-60 cm layer, and soil bulk density and steppe vegetation were the most important factors in the 60-80 cm layer. For ST, altitude, temperature and slope gradient were the drivers in the 0-20 cm surface layer, while altitude and temperature were the most critical drivers in the 20-40 cm, 40-60 cm and 60-80 cm layers. Overall, bulk density and altitude were the key environmental factors influencing SWC and ST values, respectively. The outcomes of this study provide valuable insights into the environmental factors that impact the SWC and ST in permafrost regions, which can guide decision-making processes for sustainable soil management in the context of climate change.