Neurofilament light chain and cardiac MIBG uptake as predictors for phenoconversion in isolated REM sleep behavior disorder

Background Isolated rapid-eye-movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) is considered as a prodromal stage of either multiple system atrophy (MSA) or Lewy body disease (LBD; Parkinson's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies). However, current knowledge is limited in predicting and differentiating the type of future phenoconversion in iRBD patients. We investigated the role of plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) and cardiac metaiodobenzylguanidine (MIBG) uptake as predictors for phenoconversion. Methods Forty patients with iRBD were enrolled between April 2018 and October 2019 and prospectively followed every 3 months to determine phenoconversion to either MSA or LBD. Plasma NfL levels were measured at enrollment. Cardiac MIBG uptake and striatal dopamine transporter uptake were assessed at baseline. Results Patients were followed for a median of 2.92 years. Four patients converted to MSA and 7 to LBD. Plasma NfL level at baseline was significantly higher in future MSA-converters (median 23.2 pg/mL) when compared with the rest of the samples (median 14.1 pg/mL, p = 0.003). NfL level above 21.3 pg/mL predicted phenoconversion to MSA with the sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 94.3%. Baseline MIBG heart-to-mediastinum ratio of LBD-converters (median 1.10) was significantly lower when compared with the rest (median 2.00, p < 0.001). Heart-to-mediastinum ratio below 1.545 predicted phenoconversion to LBD with the sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 92.9%. Conclusions Plasma NfL and cardiac MIBG uptake may be useful biomarkers in predicting phenoconversion of iRBD. Elevated plasma NfL levels may suggest imminent phenoconversion to MSA, whereas low cardiac MIBG uptake suggests phenoconversion to LBD.