Decline of young-of-year walleye ( Sander vitreus ) growth due to Bythotrephes impacts predicted from bioenergetic principles

Invasive species are a major threat to ecosystem structure and function. For example, Bythotrephes cederströmii ( Bythotrephes hereafter) invasions have significantly reduced native zooplankton density and biomass, resulting in competitive interactions with zooplanktivorous fishes. Young of year (YOY) walleye ( Sander vitreus ) are initially zooplanktivorous and have recently been shown to display reduced growth in Bythotrephes -invaded lakes. Here, we combined a bioenergetics model for larval walleye with changes in the zooplankton community following Bythotrephes invasion and predicted reduced larval walleye growth in the presence of Bythotrephes , supporting field observations. The model predicted greater negative impacts on larval walleye growth in oligotrophic compared with mesotrophic lakes, though reduced growth was only significant under oligotrophic conditions. Under Bythotrephes invasion, net energy available to growth over the simulated period was often observed to be negative (indicating mass loss). These combined results from the model suggest that Bythotrephes invasion could potentially lead to walleye recruitment failure, especially in low nutrient environments. This result was insensitive to differences in annual mean water temperatures ranging from 18.5 to 23.5 °C. As YOY growth, survival, and recruitment are ultimately linked to adult abundance and sustainability of managed stocks, our results highlight the potential impacts of Bythotrephes on the sustainability of walleye populations in boreal lakes.