Changes in Forest Vegetation Carbon Storage and Its Driving Forces in Subtropical Red Soil Hilly Region over the Past 34 Years: A Case Study of Taihe County, China

After decades of afforestation, China's forest coverage has increased significantly, but the forest quality and its impact on ecosystem services are still controversial. Taking forest vegetation carbon storage as an example, most assessment results based on the national forest inventory data showed that the contribution of enlarged forest area to the increase in China's forest vegetation carbon storage was higher than that of the change in forest quality (vegetation carbon density). This means that the increase in forest carbon storage in China was mostly contributed by the increase in forest area and was less due to the increased forest vegetation carbon density. However, the national forest inventory data are based on national permanent plots that may be protected or are less disturbed to some extent. Therefore, the contribution of the change in forest quality to the increase in forest vegetation carbon storage, as evaluated from the national forest inventory data, might be overestimated, especially in regions with frequent human activities. To test the hypothesis, we selected Taihe County, a typical representative of the red soil hilly region in subtropical China, where the population is dense, economic development is fast, and the forest has experienced destruction and re-establishment. To accurately assess the impact of changes in the forest area and forest quality on forest vegetation carbon storage variation in real situations, we collected and used a series of remote sensing images from 1986 to 2019, inventory data for forest management, and field data. The results showed that the forest area and forest vegetation carbon density increased from 10.85 x 10(4) ha and 17.89 Mg/ha in 1986 to 16.40 x 10(4) ha and 26.51 Mg/ha in 2019, with an increase of 51.11% and 48.23%, respectively. Meanwhile, the forest vegetation carbon storage increased by 123.99%, from 1.94 Tg in 1986 to 4.35 Tg in 2019, suggesting a significant carbon sequestration ability. Further analysis showed that the contributions of changes in forest area and forest quality to the forest vegetation carbon storage variation were 1.23 Tg (51.19%) and 1.17 Tg (48.81%), respectively. The result implies that the increase in forest area and forest quality almost contributed equally to the increase in forest vegetation carbon storage during the 34 years of vegetation restoration in Taihe County. However, forest vegetation carbon density controlled the variation of forest vegetation carbon storage in all three forest developing stages. The precision of our results was also tested with two inventory datasets for forest management in Taihe County in 2009 and 2019. The relative contribution of forest vegetation carbon density is lower than most of the previous study results using national forest inventory data in this region, indicating that the contribution of change in the forest vegetation carbon density to the forest vegetation carbon storage variation might be overestimated based on these national permanent plots, which were protected or less disturbed to some extent.