COVID-19: more than “a little flu”? Insights from the Swiss hospital-based surveillance of Influenza and COVID-19

medrxiv(2020)

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摘要
Background Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) has frequently been colloquially compared to the seasonal influenza, but comparisons based on empirical data are scarce. Aims To compare in-hospital outcomes for patients admitted with community-acquired COVID-19 to patients with community-acquired influenza in Switzerland. Methods Patients >18 years, who were admitted with PCR proven COVID-19 or influenza A/B infection to 14 participating Swiss hospitals were included in a prospective surveillance. Primary and secondary outcomes were the in-hospital mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission between influenza and COVID-19 patients. We used Cox regression (cause-specific models, and Fine & Gray subdistribution) to account for time-dependency and competing events with inverse probability weighting to account for confounders. Results In 2020, 2843 patients with COVID-19 were included from 14 centers and in years 2018 to 2020, 1361 patients with influenza were recruited in 7 centers. Patients with COVID-19 were predominantly male (n=1722, 61% vs. 666 influenza patients, 48%, p<0.001) and were younger than influenza patients (median 67 years IQR 54-78 vs. median 74 years IQR 61-84, p<0.001). 363 patients (12.8%) died in-hospital with COVID-19 versus 61 (4.4%) patients with influenza (p<0.001). The final, adjusted subdistribution Hazard Ratio for mortality was 3.01 (95% CI 2.22-4.09, p<0.001) for COVID-19 compared to influenza, and 2.44 (95% CI, 2.00-3.00, p<0.001) for ICU admission. Conclusion Even in a national healthcare system with sufficient human and financial resources, community-acquired COVID-19 was associated with worse outcomes compared to community-acquired influenza, as the hazards of in-hospital death and ICU admission were ∼3-fold higher. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Clinical Protocols ### Funding Statement Swiss Hospital Surveillance for Influenza and COVID-19 was supported by the Swiss Federal Office of Public Health ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Canton of Geneva, Switzerland. (CCER 2018-00577, 2020-00827). Data collection was also approved by the local Ethics Committees. All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable. Yes Swiss Covid-19/Influenza Hospital Surveillance data access is available from: [https://www.unige.ch/medecine/hospital-covid/files/4015/9427/6937/CH\_SUR\_Multicentric\_process\_final.pdf][1] [1]: https://www.unige.ch/medecine/hospital-covid/files/4015/9427/6937/CH_SUR_Multicentric_process_final.pdf
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关键词
influenza,little flu”,hospital-based
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