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DCENet: A dynamic correlation evolve network for short-term traffic prediction

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications(2023)

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Abstract
Graph neural networks (GNNs) have been extensively employed in traffic prediction tasks due to their excellent capturing capabilities of spatial dependence. However, the majority of GNN-based approaches tend to employ static graphs, whereas they evolve over time and vary dynamics in real-world traffic situations. It is challenging to capture the dynamic spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of traffic data. To address this problem, we propose a dynamic correlation evolve network (DCENet) for short-term traffic prediction. To be specific, we develop a dynamic correlation self-attention (DCSA) module, which captures dynamic node associations adaptively. In this way, the model acquires new node embedding features without explicitly constructing a new graph structure. Then, an evolution encoder-decoder (EED) module is built to learn the interactions of dynamic features and output future traffic states. The experiments are conducted on two real-world datasets, and the results show that the DCENet outperformers baseline models for most of the cases.(c) 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Key words
Traffic prediction,Dynamic correlations,Self-attention,Encoder-Decoder
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