Prediction method of surface settlement of rectangular pipe jacking tunnel based on improved PSO-BP neural network

To provide theoretical support for the safety control of rectangular pipe jacking tunnels crossing an existing expressway, a method for predicting the surface settlement of a rectangular pipe jacking tunnel is proposed in this study. Therefore, based on the high approximation of the BP neural network to any function under the multiparameter input, the PSO-BP mixed prediction model of the ground subsidence of the ultrashallow buried large section rectangular pipe jacking tunnel is established by taking into account the adaptive mutation method, adopting the improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) algorithm with adaptive inertia weight and mutation particles in the later stage to determine the optimal hyperparameters of the prediction model. Through the case study of an ultrashallow large cross-section rectangular pipe jacking tunnel, this algorithm is compared with the traditional algorithm and combined with field monitoring data for analysis and prediction. The prediction results show that compared with the traditional BP neural network prediction model, AWPSO-BP model and PWPSO-BP model, the improved PSO-BP mixed prediction model shows a more stable prediction effect when the change in surface subsidence is gentle and the concavity and convexity are large. The predicted subsidence value is close to the actual value, and the accuracy and robustness of the prediction are significantly improved.