ASO Visual Abstract: Menstrual Phase and Menopausal Status Classification of Benign Breast Tissue Using Hormone-Regulated Gene Expression and Histomorphology: A Validation Study

Background The validation of breast cancer risk biomarkers in benign breast samples (BBS) is a long-sought goal, hampered by the fluctuation of gene and protein expression with menstrual phase (MP) and menopausal status (MS). Previously, we identified hormone-related gene expression and histomorphology parameters to classify BBS by MS/MP. We now evaluate both together, to validate our prior results. Patients and Methods BBS were obtained from consenting women (86 premenopausal, 55 postmenopausal) undergoing reduction mammoplasty (RM) or contralateral unaffected breast (CUB) mastectomy. MP/MS was defined using classical criteria for menstrual dates and hormone levels on the day of surgery. BBS gene expression was measured with reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) for three luteal phase (LP) genes ( TNFSF11 , DIO2 , MYBPC1 ) and four menopausal genes ( PGR , GREB1 , TIFF1 , CCND1 ). Premenopausal samples were classified into LP or non-LP, using published histomorphology parameters. Logistic regression and receiver-operator curve analysis was performed to assess area under the curve (AUC) for prediction of MP/MS. Results In all 131 women, menopausal genes plus age > 50 years predicted true MS [AUC 0.93, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.89, 0.97]. Among premenopausal women, high TNFSF11 expression distinguished non-LP from LP samples (AUC 0.80, 95% CI 0.70, 0.91); the addition of histomorphology improved the prediction nonsignificantly (AUC 0.87, 95% CI 0.78, 0.96). In premenopausal subsets, addition of histomorphology improved LP prediction in RM (AUC 0.95, 95% CI 0.87, 1.0), but not in CUB (0.84, 95% CI 0.72, 0.96). Conclusions Expression of five-gene set accurately predicts menopausal status and menstrual phase in BBS, facilitating the development of breast cancer risk biomarkers using large, archived sample repositories.