Factors Predicting Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in Guillain-Barre Syndrome

Background:Up to 30% of patients with Guillain-Barre syndrome require mechanical ventilation and 5% die due to acute complications of mechanical ventilation. There is a considerable group of patients that will need prolonged mechanical ventilation (considered as >14 days) and should be considered for early tracheostomy. The objective of this study is to identify risk factors for prolonged mechanical ventilation. Methods:We prospectively analyzed patients with Guillain-Barre diagnosis with versus without prolonged mechanical ventilation. We considered clinical and electrophysiological characteristics and analyzed factors associated with prolonged mechanical ventilation. Results:Three hundred and three patients were included; 29% required mechanical ventilation. When comparing the groups, patients with prolonged invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) have a lower score on the Medical Research Council score (19.5 +/- 16.2 vs 27.4 +/- 17.5, p = 0.03) and a higher frequency of dysautonomia (42.3% vs 19.4%, p = 0.037), as well as lower amplitudes of the distal compound muscle action potential (CMAP) of the median nerve [0.37 (RIQ 0.07-2.25) vs. 3.9 (RIQ1.2-6.4), p = <0.001] and ulnar nerve [0.37 (RIQ0.0-3.72) vs 1.5 (RIQ0.3-6.6), p = <0.001], and higher frequency of severe axonal damage in these nerves (distal CMAP <= 1.0 mV). Through binary logistic regression, severe axonal degeneration of the median nerve is an independent risk factor for prolonged IMV OR 4.9 (95%CI 1.1-21.5) p = 0.03, AUC of 0.774, (95%CI 0.66-0.88), p = < 0.001. Conclusions:Severe median nerve damage is an independent risk factor for prolonged mechanical ventilation.