Real-Time Seismogeodetic Earthquake Magnitude Estimates for Local Tsunami Warnings

We estimate a seismogeodetic earthquake moment magnitude using unclipped, broadband velocity and displacement waveforms from collocated Global Navigation Satellite Systems and seismic stations located within 800 km epicentral distance for nine 7.2 < M-w < 9.1 earthquakes. We consider the vertical component of seismogeodetic displacement as an approximate source time function and integrate the associated time series to obtain the seismic moment. By continuing to integrate vertical displacement beyond the initial P-waves, we obtain rapid estimates of M-w that are within 0.2 magnitude units for 8 thrust faulting events and within 0.3 units for the single normal faulting event. Because our estimates of the seismic moment are based on the maximum value of integrated displacement, no regression against other source parameters, or distance, is necessary. Our new method shows promise for integration into earthquake and local tsunami early warning systems, including tsunami earthquakes characterized by relatively slow moment release over a longer rupture time, and earthquakes with complex source time functions.