Red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling

Andreas Morr, Dörte Kreher,Niklas Boers

arxiv(2022)

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摘要
The concept of correlated noise is well-established in discrete-time stochastic modelling but there is no generally agreed-upon definition of the notion of red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling. Here we discuss the generalization of discrete-time correlated noise to the continuous case. We give an overview of existing continuous-time approaches to model red noise, which relate to their discrete-time analogue via characteristics like the autocovariance structure or the power spectral density. The implications of carrying certain attributes from the discrete-time to the continuous-time setting are explored while assessing the inherent ambiguities in such a generalization. We find that the attribute of a power spectral density decaying as $S(\omega)\sim\omega^{-2}$ commonly ascribed to the notion of red noise has far reaching consequences when posited in the continuous-time stochastic differential setting. In particular, any It\^{o}-differential $\mathrm{d} Y_t=\alpha_t\mathrm{d} t+\beta_t\mathrm{d} W_t$ with continuous, square-integrable integrands must have a vanishing martingale part, i.e. $\mathrm{d} Y_t=\alpha_t\mathrm{d} t$ for almost all $t\geq 0$. We further argue that $\alpha$ should be an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
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关键词
red noise,modelling,continuous-time
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