Threats and Consequences of Non-Smart Industry Quo vadimus? Quo vademus?

2022 45th Jubilee International Convention on Information, Communication and Electronic Technology (MIPRO)(2022)

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摘要
The questions "Where do we rush? Where will we go?" are essential for our present day civilisation. The first question is: on which path are we now, and where will it lead us. The other one is: which future do we want, and which path shall we take to get there.Where do we go? Well, we rush in all kinds of directions, like children we try out whatever can be done, but very, very rarely we consider system stability consequences. And that usually only much late after the destabilising action. Unfortunately, a general driving force of our civilisation can be detected: Faster, Better, More… A typical case of a dynamic system with a positive feedback loop. It is known that positive feedback, without a regulatory opposition of a negative feedback is destructive for a system at any level. Only a balanced regulatory process of positive and negative feedback is homeostatically sustainable. But, furthermore, the positive feedbacks (!) we constantly strive for are of extremely diverse natures, though all fall into the "Faster, Better, More…" category. This develops additional strain on the whole system stability [the whole (eco-)system of the geosphere, biosphere and technoshpere, as presently we pushed our survival possibilities largely into the sphere of technology]. However, the negative feedback comes from the whole ecosystem with, in human terms, very long latency, and than in ways which are either not obvious, or generally regarded irrelevant for everyday personal life, or generally regarded as terrible, but what can we do? So the question "Where do we go?" necessitates a thorough answer.But to know where we go it is essential to know the present state of the system. There are two highly pronounced areas of our civilisation's destabilisation of the system. The first is resource consumption, the second is garbage production. Both of those cling on uncontrollable overgrown consumerism, grown out of the contradictory philosophies and the conflicting economic and social principles throughout last several centuries. Constant uncertainties of future during that time, and an earth-shaking (even literally) change in technological surroundings, led to "Let's enjoy the life while we can" and "Let's survive the day" being some of the basic generic philosophical postulates prevailing in the subconscious of the population. Therefore, to answer the question, it is necessary to involve a huge amount of effort in two main directions: 1. Development of a model of the present eco-system state - where, what, how much, why… is researched, mined, produced, consumed, wasted… 2. Development of a philosophical framework which will enable global human acceptance of a stable nature-human-machine ecosystem.Where do we want to go? There are two main constraints for any sustainable future path: the unavoidable influence of ecosystem transformations on future production and distribution principles, and necessary adaptation of our wishes to the ecosystem stability needs. Firstly we will have to significantly reduce the wasteness of short-term products, unnecessary extreme energy consumption, enable long-term availability of spares and services, develop self-contained coordinated local economies, drastically reduce long-haul transport and "re-educate" ourselves in keeping in check our wishes for faster, better, more…The approaches of our future economy, which shall be based as much as possible locally, the production and product life-cycle management etc., will have to drastically change, from the level of prevailing philosophies and paradigmatic systems down to everyday life. With the use of properly organised local/global cybernetics and computer science aided coordination, through the emerging hierarchy from Dew to Cloud, it is possible to envisage a Rainbow Services System which would enable the existence of enough prerequisite variety and low latency information for timely decision making and action, as well as long term strategic planning, to achieve the sustainable longevity of our future civilisation.
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关键词
Smart Industry,Sustainability,Ecosystem Balance,Chaotic Developments
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