The association between age, troponin level, and mortality in patients hospitalised with acute pulmonary embolism (NIHR Health Informatics Collaborative TROP-PE study)

Abstract Background A positive cardiac troponin (cTn) is an independent predictor of short-term mortality in individuals presenting with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). However, there is limited evidence regarding the impact age has on the association between cTn levels and mortality in patients with PE. Purpose The aim of our study was to investigate the relationship between cTn level, age, and all-cause mortality, in hospitalised patients diagnosed with an acute PE. Methods A retrospective cohort study using the National Institute for Health Research Health Informatics Collaborative Cardiovascular dataset of all consecutive patients who had a troponin measured at five hospitals between 2010 and 2017. Patients admitted to hospital with a primary diagnosis of PE with at least one cTn measurement were included. We modelled the relation between peak troponin level and all-cause mortality using multivariable adjusted restricted cubic spline Cox regression analyses. Effect estimates were adjusted for age, gender, high-sensitivity troponin assay, C-reactive protein, haemoglobin, platelet count, white cell count, creatinine, sodium, potassium, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, acute coronary syndrome, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, acute kidney injury, chronic kidney disease, obstructive lung disease, inflammatory disorders, pneumonia and malignancy. The peak cTn level (highest level measured), standardised to the upper limit of normal (ULN), was used for all analyses. Results 1,477 patients with at least one cTn measurement and a diagnosis of acute PE were included. During a median follow-up of 34.8 months, there were 290 (19.6%) deaths. Elevated cTn (>1xULN) was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 3.29 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.95–5.53) for 30-day mortality and 2.12 (95% CI 1.63–2.75) for 3-year mortality. Higher cTn levels were progressively associated with a higher mortality risk, reaching a maximum HR of 2.59 (95% CI 1.64–4.09) at 141xULN (Figure 1). Younger patients (<55 years), compared with those aged over 55, had the highest 3-year HR associated with a positive cTn of 2.94 (95% CI 1.48–5.82) despite having the lowest troponin levels (mean 7.01xULN) on admission (Figure 2). Conclusion Elevated cTn, at all ages, is associated with an increased mortality risk in patients presenting with PE, with increasing cTn levels conferring a progressively worse long-term prognosis. Elevated cTn, no matter how small, needs to be taken seriously, particularly in young patients with an acute PE. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): 1) NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre, as part of the NIHR Health Informatics Collaborative, and 2) British Heart Foundation