New artificial intelligence analysis for prediction of long-term visual improvement after epiretinal membrane surgery

Purpose:To predict improvement of best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) 1 year after pars plana vitrectomy for epiretinal membrane (ERM) using artificial intelligence methods on optical coherence tomography B-scan images. Methods:Four hundred and eleven (411) patients with Stage II ERM were divided in a group improvement (IM) (>= 15 ETDRS letters of VA recovery) and a group no improvement (N-IM) (<15 letters) according to 1-year VA improvement after 25-G pars plana vitrectomy with internal limiting membrane peeling. Primary outcome was the creation of a deep learning classifier (DLC) based on optical coherence tomography B-scan images for prediction. Secondary outcome was assessment of the influence of various clinical and imaging predictors on BCVA improvement. Inception-ResNet-V2 was trained using standard augmentation techniques. Testing was performed on an external data set. For secondary outcome, B-scan acquisitions were analyzed by graders both before and after fibrillary change processing enhancement. Results:The overall performance of the DLC showed a sensitivity of 87.3% and a specificity of 86.2%. Regression analysis showed a difference in preoperative images prevalence of ectopic inner foveal layer, foveal detachment, ellipsoid zone interruption, cotton wool sign, unprocessed fibrillary changes (odds ratio = 2.75 [confidence interval: 2.49-2.96]), and processed fibrillary changes (odds ratio = 5.42 [confidence interval: 4.81-6.08]), whereas preoperative BCVA and central macular thickness did not differ between groups. Conclusion:The DLC showed high performances in predicting 1-year visual outcome in ERM surgery patients. Fibrillary changes should also be considered as relevant predictors.