Modeling the impacts of cover crops and no-tillage on soil health and cotton yield in an irrigated cropping system of the Texas Rolling Plains

An interest to grow cover crops is increasing in the semi-arid Texas Rolling Plains (TRP) region, where cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) is a major cultivated crop. Under conservation tillage systems, cover crops are expected to enhance ecosystem services, including improved soil health and erosion reduction. However, there is a concern that cover crops could deplete soil water content and affect the subsequent cotton production. This study evaluated the efficacy of growing winter cover crops in a continuous cotton production system under irrigated conditions at Chillicothe, TX with the Denitrification Decomposition (DNDC) model. Treatments included: conventional tillage (CT), no-till (NT), no-till with mixed-species cover crop (Mixture), and no-till with winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) cover crop (Wheat). The DNDC model was calibrated and validated against observed data from 2012 to 2020. Seed cotton yield prediction during model calibration had a percent bias (PBIAS) of 4.4 %, root mean square error (RMSE) of 385 kg ha−1, r2 of 0.55, d-index of 0.84, and a Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) of 0.92. Seed cotton yield during model validation had PBIAS of − 2.0 %, RMSE of 279 kg ha−1, r2 of 0.75, d-index of 0.93, and a NSE of 0.72. Simulated soil organic carbon (SOC) stock had a PBIAS of 8.6 % and 3 %, RMSE of 1.8 and 0.74 Mg ha−1, r2 of 0.92 and 0.98, d-index of 0.97 and 0.99, a NSE of 0.89 and 0.98 during model calibration and validation, respectively. Daily trends of simulated soil water content at 0–100 cm depth were within the acceptable range. Long-term simulations (25 years) revealed: (1) planting cover crops could accrue 11–19 % more SOC and 4–14 % more TN compared to no-cover crops, (2) cotton yield under cover crops was not significantly different from that under no-cover crops, (3) cover crop biomass increased immoblisation of nitrogen (N), which led to a decline in available N and hence, N-stress was simulated during the initial cotton growth period. In nutshell, results showed the potential of conservation management systems such as no-till and cover crops in improving soil health indicators without affecting cotton yields.