Early relapse prediction after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) using lineage-specific chimerism analysis.

Relapse is a major cause of treatment failure after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) for acute leukemia. Here, we report a monocentric retrospective study of all HSCTs for B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) performed during the years 2005-2021 (n = 138, including 51 children), aiming to identify the optimal use of lineage-specific recipient-donor chimerism analysis for prediction of relapse. In adults, relapse was associated with increased recipient chimerism in CD3+ bone marrow cells sampled at least 30 days before a relapse. Relapse could be predicted with a sensitivity of 73% and a specificity of 83%. Results were similar for children but with a higher recipient chimerism cutoff. Additionally, adults that had at least one chimerism value <0.12% in CD3+ peripheral blood cells within the first 60 days after HSCT had 89% probability of being relapse-free after 2-years compared to 64%. Results were similar for children but again necessitating a higher chimerism cutoff. These results suggest that high-sensitive lineage-specific chimerism analysis can be used for (1) early ALL relapse prediction by longitudinal chimerism monitoring in CD3+ bone marrow cells and (2) relapse risk stratification by analyzing CD3+ blood cells early post-HSCT.