Deep Neural Networks Predict MHC-I Epitope Presentation and Transfer Learn Neoepitope Immunogenicity

Identifying neoepitopes that elicit an adaptive immune response is a major bottleneck to developing personalized cancer vaccines. Experimental validation of candidate neoepitopes is extremely resource intensive, and the vast majority of candidates are non-immunogenic, making their identification a needle-in-a-haystack problem. To address this challenge, we present computational methods for predicting MHC-I epitopes and identifying immunogenic neoepitopes with improved precision. The BigMHC method comprises an ensemble of seven pan-allelic deep neural networks trained on peptide-MHC eluted ligand data from mass spectrometry assays and transfer learned on data from assays of antigen-specific immune response. Compared with four state-of-the-art classifiers, BigMHC significantly improves the prediction of epitope presentation on a test set of 45,409 MHC ligands among 900,592 random negatives (AUROC=0.9733, AUPRC=0.8779). After transfer learning on immunogenicity data, BigMHC yields significantly higher precision than seven state-of-the-art models in identifying immunogenic neoepitopes, making BigMHC effective in clinical settings. All data and code are freely available at . ### Competing Interest Statement Under a license agreement between Genentech and the Johns Hopkins University, X.M.S., and R.K., and the University are entitled to royalty distributions related to MHCnuggets technology discussed in this publication. This arrangement has been reviewed and approved by the Johns Hopkins University in accordance with its conflict-of-interest policies. V.A has received research funding to her institution from Bristol Myers Squibb, Astra Zeneca, Personal Genome Diagnostics and Delfi Diagnostics in the past 5 years. V.A is an inventor on patent applications (63/276,525, 17/779,936, 16/312,152, 16/341,862, 17/047,006 and 17/598,690) submitted by Johns Hopkins University related to cancer genomic analyses, ctDNA therapeutic response monitoring and immunogenomic features of response to immunotherapy that have been licensed to one or more entities. Under the terms of these license agreements, the University and inventors are entitled to fees and royalty distributions. The remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest.