Machine learning to predict left ventricular reverse remodeling by guideline-directed medical therapy by utilizing texture feature of extracellular volume fraction in patients with non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy

Extracellular volume fraction (ECV) by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) allows for the non-invasive quantification of diffuse myocardial fibrosis. Texture analysis and machine learning are now gathering attention in the medical field to exploit the ability of diagnostic imaging for various diseases. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of texture analysis of ECV and machine learning for predicting response to guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) for patients with non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NIDCM). A total of one-hundred and fourteen NIDCM patients [age: 63 ± 12 years, 91 (81%) males] were retrospectively analyzed. We performed texture analysis of ECV mapping of LV myocardium using dedicated software. We calculated nine histogram-based features (mean, standard deviation, maximum, minimum, etc.) and five gray-level co-occurrence matrices. Five machine learning techniques and the fivefold cross-validation method were used to develop prediction models for LVRR by GDMT based on 14 texture parameters on ECV mapping. We defined the LVRR as follows: LVEF increased ≥ 10% points and decreased LVEDV ≥ 10% on echocardiography after GDMT > 12 months. Fifty (44%) patients were classified as non-responders. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for predicting non-responder was 0.82 for eXtreme Gradient Boosting, 0.85 for support vector machine, 0.76 for multi-layer perception, 0.81 for Naïve Bayes, 0.77 for logistic regression, respectively. Mean ECV value was the most critical factor among texture features for differentiating NIDCM patients with LVRR and those without (0.28 ± 0.03 vs. 0.36 ± 0.06, p < 0.001). Machine learning analysis using the support vector machine may be helpful in detecting high-risk NIDCM patients resistant to GDMT. Mean ECV is the most crucial feature among texture features.