Single-year and double-year El Niños

Climate Dynamics(2022)

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摘要
Compared with well documented and frequent occurrence of multi-year La Niña, double-year El Niño is less frequent and has not been well investigated. Both of them are a discrepancy from the cyclic behavior of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and deserve investigation. Here, we demonstrate the diversity of single- and double-year El Niño events in their strengths, flavors, as well as associations with the recharge/discharge processes. The possible different climate impacts are also discussed. During 1950–2021, 75% of El Niño events persist for one year, and 25% of them last for two years. Both central and eastern Pacific type El Niños occur in the single-year and double-year El Niños with various strengths. On average, there is no relationship between the initial time and duration of an El Niño event. Compared with the single-year El Niños, the averaged warm water volume (WWV) is larger in the peak and declines slower for the double-year El Niños, suggesting that a persistently recharged heat condition of the equatorial Pacific is a precondition for the emergence of a second-year El Niño. The faster decline of WWV in the single-year El Niños is associated with the in-phase decrease of its intraseasonal-interseasonal and interannual components, while the slower decline of WWV in the double-year El Niños is determined by the interannual component. In addition, the single-year and double-year El Niño may have different impacts on regional climate.
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关键词
Asymmetry of ENSO duration, diversity of single-year and double-year El Niños,Recharge and discharge processes
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