Role of jellyfish in mesozooplankton community stability in a subtropical bay under the long-term impacts of temperature changes

To understand zooplankton community changes in the context of climate change and anthropogenic disturbances, we analyzed mesozooplankton samples from four seasons in the subtropical Daya Bay, which is susceptible to perceived disturbances in the South China Sea. The zooplankton community was found to be divided into two clusters, namely the Outer-bay Cluster (OC) comprising Noctiluca scintillans, Temora turbinata, and Paracalanus spp., and the Inner-bay Cluster (IC) which was dominated by Pseudevadne tergestina, Oikopleura rufescens, and Paracalanus spp. The OC was recorded in waters with low Chl a concentrations and high salinity, coinciding with open seawater intrusion. The IC occurred in waters with high Chl a concentrations, low salinity, with terrestrial inputs from the Dan'ao River. The dominant cladoceran species has changed in spring from Penilia avirostris to Pseudevadne tergestina owing to suitable temperature conditions and the low wind speed in this region. Most of the keystone species recorded during all seasons were found to be copepods based on co-occurrence network analysis. Numbers of keystone jellyfish (cnidaria) species, such as Geryonia proboscidalis, Chelophyes contorta, and Aeginura grimaldi were significantly higher in summer than in other seasons due to a low-temperature seawater intrusion, which can result in the highest stability of community structures and affect coastal food webs and fishery resources. Our results highlight that zooplankton community succession may occur with long-term temperature changes in the subtropical Daya Bay under global climate change conditions.