An empiric tool to identify Kenyans living with HIV who will have unsuppressed viremia 18 months following treatment initiation to guide differentiated care models.

Routinely collected variables in a public HIV clinic medical record predicts, with modest accuracy, individuals likely to have unsuppressed HIV viremia 18 months after they initiate ART. The use and application of this tool could improve and complement efficiency in differentiated care models for patients on ART.