Abstract GS4-11: How low is low risk: MINDACT updated outcome and treatment benefit in patients considered clinical low risk and stratified by genomic signature, age and nodal status
General Session Abstracts(2021)
Abstract
Abstract Background With 8.7 years follow-up, the prospective phase III randomized MINDACT trial (EORTC 10041/BIG3-04) continues to meet its primary objective, i.e. 95.1% (95%CI 93.1-96.6), 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) in clinical high (C-High)/genomic low (G-Low) risk patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) (Cardoso et al., ASCO 2020). In addition, about half of the MINDACT patients had a low clinical risk (C-Low) defined by pre-specified clinical-pathological characteristics. Here, we evaluated the outcome of this C-Low population stratified by the 70-gene signature (MammaPrint®) (G-Low or G-High) for outcome considering age, and present data on the total G-low population (C-Low and C-High combined). Methods Of 6693 patients enrolled in the MINDACT trial between 2007 and 2011, 3337 were C-Low, characterized as mainly T1, grade 1 or 2, and node negative. We evaluated the pre-specified DMFS, distant metastasis free interval (DMFI), and overall survival (OS) rates at 5 and 8 years in the C-Low population: i) in patients with genomic low risk (C-Low/G-Low, n=2744) who were recommended to receive endocrine therapy only (for 99% HR+), and ii) in C-Low/G-High who received ACT or not following randomization (ITT, n=690, 81% HR+). Exploratory analyses by age, ≤50 and >50, were conducted for ACT vs no ACT received in C-Low/G-High. In parallel we estimated survival rates for all G-low patients if all would have followed the genomic low risk assignment and received no ACT (C-Low/G-Low, and C-High/G-Low randomized to no ACT double weighted, n=4130). We used Kaplan-Meier estimates for time to event endpoints and hazard ratios with 95%CI from Cox-regression models adjusted for stratification factors used for the randomization. Results C-low/G-low patients who were recommended endocrine therapy only (compliance > 79%, based on local guidelines) have excellent 5 and 8 year survival rates for all endpoints (Table 1). The estimated survival rates for all G-Low patients, if all would have followed the genomic low risk assignment and received no ACT, is excellent as well (Table 1), albeit this population includes both C-Low and C-High patients. The survival estimates for C-Low/G-High patients are for all endpoints a few percentage points lower than for the C-Low/G-Low group (Table 1). At 8 years of follow-up, in the relatively small subset of 690 patients with C-Low/G-High tumors assigned to ACT or not by randomization (ITT), a 1.5% (SE ±2.3%) higher DMFS is seen in the ACT group, and a 2.9% (SE ±2.0%) higher DMFI. This suggested benefit is mostly seen in patients under 50 years of age (absolute Δ in DMFS for ACT vs no ACT at 8 years: 5.4% for age ≤50 vs -0.3% for age >50). Conclusion Patients with a 70-gene G-Low risk tumor have an excellent 8 year outcome in the context of C-Low characteristics when recommended for endocrine therapy only, very close to the outcome in the larger group of all G-Low patients regardless of clinical risk. Stratification of C-Low patients in to G-Low and G-high provides meaningful information. The benefit of ACT in C-Low patients with a 70-gene G-High risk tumor needs further confirmation, especially relevant in younger women. Table 1All Patients PopulationPatientsObserved events% at 5 years (95% CI)% at 8 years (95% CI)DMFSC-Low / G-Low274417097.3 (96.6-97.9)94.7 (93.8-95.6)C-Low / G-High5936194.2 (92.0-95.9)91.1 (88.4-93.3)DMFIC-Low / G-Low274410398.5 (97.9-98.9)96.7 (95.9-97.3)C-Low / G-High5934695.8 (93.8-97.2)93.5 (91.0-95.3)OSC-Low / G-Low274412298.2 (97.6-98.7)96.5 (95.7-97.2)C-Low / G-High5934496.8 (94.9-98.0)93.1 (90.5-95.0)Patients G-low (C-Low & C-High)PatientsEstimated events% at 5 years% at 8 yearsDMFSAll G-Low - no ACT413033996.492.8DMFIAll G-Low - no ACT413024497.494.6OSAll G-Low - no ACT413022397.995.7 Citation Format: Laura J van 't Veer, Fatima Cardoso, Coralie Poncet, Josephine Lopes Cardozo, Suzette Delaloge, Jean-Yves Pierga, Peter Vuylsteke, Etienne Brain, Giuseppe Viale, Sherko Kümmel, Isabel T Rubio, Gabriele Zoppoli, Alistair Thompson, Erika Matos, Khalil Zaman, Susan Knox, Florentine Hilbers, Aleksandra Peric, Bart Meulemans, Martine Picccart, Emiel J Th Rutgers. How low is low risk: MINDACT updated outcome and treatment benefit in patients considered clinical low risk and stratified by genomic signature, age and nodal status [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2020 San Antonio Breast Cancer Virtual Symposium; 2020 Dec 8-11; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS4-11.
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Key words
clinical low risk,low risk,nodal status,genomic signature,treatment benefit
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