The Strategy of Underground Construction Objects Planning Based on Foresight and Cognitive Modelling Methodologies

The strategy of underground construction objects planning based on the mathematical support of foresight methodology with the aim of scenarios alternatives creating and cognitive modelling to build scenarios for the development of the desired future and ways of their implementation is proposed. These methodologies are suggested to be used together: the obtained results at the stage of the foresight methodology are used as initial data for cognitive modelling. Using the foresight process at the first stage of modelling allows to identify critical technologies and build alternative scenarios with quantitative characteristics applying expert assessment procedures. For the justified implementation of a particular scenario, cognitive modelling is used, which allows building causal relationships considering a large number of interconnections and interdependencies. The suggested strategy is applied to the study of underground communications in order to select reasonable scenarios for justification of their creation priority.