Grid Reserve and Flexibility Planning Tool (GRAF-Plan) for Assessing Resource Balancing Capability Under High Renewable Penetration

High penetration of intermittent generation increases uncertainty and variability in balancing reserve needs. New tools are needed to help the balancing authority system operator plan for intraday and intra-hour balance between generation and load. The Grid Reserve and Flexibility Planning tool (GRAF-Plan) helps plan for adequate balancing reserves for future years or seasons for expected wind and solar generation. It also assesses the flexibility of the scheduled generation fleet to meet such requirements. The estimations are based on utilities’ operational practices (e.g., forecasting and time frame of reserve deployment), and it incorporates detailed data from renewable generation and load. Application of the tool in estimating reserve requirements in Central America under different levels of renewable generation (high and low) and for the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) 2030 Anchor Data Set scenario is discussed.