USING GERMLINE VARIANTS FOR DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSIS OF INDETERMINATE BRAIN LESIONS: EVALUATING THE EFFECT OF TUMOR TYPE AND RACE ON SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY OF GLIOMA POLYGENIC RISK MODELS

Abstract Abnormalities on brain MRI may be identified in ~15% of individuals aged 50-66. It can be difficult to discriminate glioma, CNS lymphoma, Inflammatory Demyelinating Disease (CNSIDD) and solitary metastasis, and misdiagnosis may expose patients to unnecessary anxiety, surgery, or radiotherapy. CNS lymphoma requires only biopsy, solitary metastasis may be resected and radiated or radiated empirically, and high-grade glioma requires maximal safe resection followed by chemoradiation. CNSIDD should only be biopsied when diagnostic uncertainty requires it, and resection and radiotherapy are unnecessary, introducing unwarranted morbidity. Polygenic risk models can identify patients at the highest risk of developing glioma; we hypothesized that these polygenic models could help with differential diagnosis of indeterminate brain lesions. We also hypothesized that race would be an important contributing factor in the models. In the initial discovery and validation European (EUR) cohorts the mean probability of glioma for IDHmut non-codeleted glioma was 0.55 and 0.52, respectively, and in healthy controls was 0.19 and 0.21, respectively. To further evaluate sensitivity, we analyzed additional genotype data from 867 gliomas (764 EUR, 54 AFR, 24 AMR, 15 EAS, 10 SAS) from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Across 764 EUR IDHmut non-codeleted glioma, the mean probability 0.53, whereas across 54 AFR and 24 AMR the mean was 0.22 and 0.32, respectively. To evaluate specificity, we analyzed 3200 TCGA patients with primary tumor types that commonly metastasize to the brain (2676 EUR, 365 AFR, 46 AMR, 95 EAS, 18 SAS), and 236 AFR healthy controls. For patients with non-CNS primary tumors, the mean probability ranged from 0.09-0.18 for EUR and 0.04-0.07 for AFR. For AFR healthy controls, the mean was 0.05. Overall, race is a significant factor for polygenic risk models. Further work entails evaluating polygenic risk models in IDHwt glioma, CNS lymphoma and CNSIDD cohorts as well as in additional races.