Responses of Xilingol Fractional Vegetation Cover to Climate Change and Human Activities

Based on the MODIS NDVI product data source of Xilingol from 2010 to 2019, we use the pixel dichotomous model to retrieve the vegetation coverage in our study. The spatiotemporal changes of the vegetation cover were analyzed in the model by using the meteorological data from researched sites or the vicinal meteorological stations for evaluating the meteorological influence on the vegetation cover changes. Based on this, an evaluation method was established to estimate the relative influences of the climate changes and anthropogenic activities. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) Fractional vegetation cover in Xilingol was decreased from the northeast to the southwest. (2) The overall trend in Xilingol fractional vegetation cover in the 10-year period shows a fluctuating increasing trend. (3) An opposite distribution pattern was detected between mean precipitation and mean temperature in the study site. (4) Compared with temperature, annual precipitation has a higher correlation with fractional vegetation cover in the study site and is the main climatic factor that affects vegetation growth in the study site. (5) During the 10-year period in the study site, anthropogenic human activities have slightly greater inhibitory effects on vegetation growth than promoting effects. (6) Climate change is a major factor to accelerate grassland degradation from 2010 to 2019 in vegetation degradation regions. The promotion effect of precipitation on vegetation coverage is obviously higher than the limitation of human activities, which leads to the increase of vegetation coverage in 2010-2019.