Exploring recruitment dynamics of sugar maple and yellow birch saplings into merchantable stems following harvesting in the Acadian Forest Region of New Brunswick, Canada

The recruitment of saplings in forest stands into merchantable stems is a very complex process, thus making it challenging to understand and predict. The dynamics of recruitment in the Acadian Forest Region of New Brunswick are not well known or well documented. Our objective was to garner information from existing large-scale routine forest inventories regarding the different dynamics behind the recruitment from the sapling layer into the commercial tree size layer. We focused on the density and occurrence of sugar maple (Acer saccharum Marsh.) and yellow birch (Betula alleghaniensis Britt.) following harvesting, by looking at many factors on a wide range of spatial and temporal scales using models. The results suggest that the variation in density and probability of occurrence is best explained by the intensity of silvicultural treatment, by the merchantable stem density in each plot, and by the proportion of merchantable basal area of each group of species. The number of recruits of sugar maple and yellow birch stems tend be higher when time since last treatment increases, when mid to low levels of silvicultural treatment intensity were implemented, and within plots having intermediate levels of merchantable stem density. Lastly, our modeling efforts suggest that the probability of occurrence and density of recruitment of both species tend to increase while its share of merchantable basal area increases.