Distribution free prediction intervals for multiple functional regression

STATISTICS AND ITS INTERFACE(2022)

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摘要
This paper applies conformal prediction techniques to the problem of constructing prediction intervals in a multiple functional regression setting. After a short introduction to the Signature expansion and its favorable properties, a method utilizing this feature set is developed with great modeling flexibility. With minimal assumptions, the resulting algorithm produces a closed form solution for a prediction set with guaranteed coverage. The good performance of the proposed method is illustrated using simulations and data examples.
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关键词
Multiple functional regression, Prediction intervals, Conformal prediction, Signature expansion
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