Molecular evolution and structural analyses of the spike glycoprotein from Brazilian SARS-CoV-2 genomes: the impact of selected mutations.

The COVID-19 pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 has reached by February 2022 more than 380 million cases and 5.5 million deaths worldwide since its beginning in late 2019, leading to enhanced concern in the scientific community and the general population. One of the most important pieces of this host-pathogen interaction is the spike protein, which binds to the hACE2 cell receptor, mediates the membrane fusion and is the major target of neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. The multiple amino acid substitutions observed in this region, specially in RBD have enhanced the hACE2 binding affinity and led to several modifications in the mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2 pathogenesis, improving the viral fitness and/or promoting immune evasion, with potential impact in the vaccine development. In this work, we identified 48 sites under selective pressures, 17 of them with the strongest evidence by the HyPhy tests, including VOC related mutation sites 138, 142, 222, 262, 484, 681, and 845, among others. The coevolutionary analysis identified 28 sites found not to be conditionally independent, such as E484K-N501Y. The molecular dynamics and free energy estimates showed the structural stabilizing effect and the higher impact of E484K for enhanced binding affinity between the spike RBD and hACE2 in P.1 and P.2 lineages (specially with L452V). Structural changes were also identified in the hACE molecule when interacting with B.1.1.7 RDB. Despite some destabilizing substitutions, a stabilizing effect was identified for the majority of the positively selected mutations.Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.