Patient-specific severity of von Willebrand factor degradation identifies patients with a left ventricular assist device at high risk for bleeding

Background: Continuous-flow left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) cause an acquired von Willebrand factor (VWF) deficiency and bleeding. Models to risk-stratify for bleeding are urgently needed. We developed a model of continuous-flow LVAD bleeding risk from patient-specific severity of VWF degradation.Methods: In a prospective, longitudinal cohort study, paired blood samples were obtained from patients (n = 67) with a continuous-flow LVAD before and during support. After 640 +/- 395 days, patients were categorized as all-cause bleeders, gastrointestinal (GI) bleeders, or nonbleeders. VWF multimers and VWF clotting function were evaluated to determine bleeding risk.Results: Of 67 patients, 34 (51%) experienced bleeding, 26 (39%) experienced GI bleeding, and 33 (49%) did not bleed. In all patients, LVAD support significantly reduced high-molecular-weight VWF multimers (P < .001). Bleeders exhibited greater loss of high-molecular-weight VWF multimers (mean +/- standard deviation, -10 +/- 5% vs -7 +/- 4%, P = .008) and reduced VWF clotting function versus nonbleeders (median [interquartile range], -12% [-31% to 4%] vs 0% [-9 to 26%], P = .01). A combined metric of VWF multimers and VWF function generated the All-Cause Bleeding Risk Score, which stratified bleeders versus nonbleeders (86 +/- 56% vs 41 +/- 48%, P < .001) with a positive predictive value of 86% (95% confidence interval, 66%-95%) and diagnostic odds ratio of 11 (95% confidence interval, 2.9-44). A separate GI Bleeding Risk Score stratified GI bleeders versus nonbleeders (202 +/- 114 vs 120 +/- 86, P = .003) with a positive predictive value of 88% (64%-97%) and diagnostic odds ratio of 18 (3.1-140).Conclusions: The severity of loss of VWF multimers and VWF clotting function generated Bleeding Risk Scores with high predictive value for LVAD-associated bleeding. This model may guide personalized antithrombotic therapy and patient surveillance.