The enhanced role of atmospheric reduced nitrogen deposition in future over East Asia–Northwest Pacific

The atmospheric nitrogen deposition plays a crucial role in natural ecosystem, and the changes in emissions substantially affect the amount of nitrogen deposition. Along with the decrease in NOx emissions and increase in NH3 emissions, the reduced nitrogen deposition may play a more important role in future. However, to what extent these changes may modify the reduced nitrogen deposition across East Asia, which is fulfilled with a large amount of nitrogen deposition, to the northwestern Pacific has not yet to be clear. Based on the results of multi-model ensemble of Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), the future changes of reduced nitrogen (NHx) deposition is firstly examined. Here we show the changes of NHx deposition flux is substantially modulated by both climate change and emissions, exhibiting an increasing trend over East Asia-Northwest Pacific in future under representative concentration pathways (RCP) 8.5 scenario, largely controlled by increase of NH3 emissions, contrasting to the oxidized nitrogen deposition which is projected to decrease. Specifically, the ratio of NHx to total nitrogen deposition in eastern China increases from 38% at present to 56% by the end of the century under RCP 8.5, indicative of a transition in the form of dominant nitrogen deposition from oxidized to reduced one. The increase is clearly discernable over the marginal seas and northwestern Pacific. Moreover, we identify a meridional shift of high wet NHx deposition from northern China in summer to southern China in the other seasons. Based on simulations from regional models Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) and Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ), we find that the synergistically nonlinear modulation of NHx concentration and precipitation triggers the north-south shift of wet NHx deposition. The findings in this study indicate a potentially more important role of reduced nitrogen deposition on the natural ecosystem in future.