Large-scale synchronized replacement of Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant by the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-COV-2 in the COVID-19 pandemic

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING(2022)

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摘要
In this work, we report a large-scale synchronized replacement pattern of the Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant by the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-COV-2. We argue that this phenomenon is associated with the invasion timing and the transmissibility advantage of the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant. Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant skipped some countries/regions, e.g. India and neighboring countries/regions, which could have led to a mild first wave before the invasion of the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant, in term of reported COVID-deaths per capita.
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关键词
variants of concern, Delta (B, 1, 617, 2) variant, Alpha (B, 1, 1, 7) variant, synchronization, SARS-COV-2
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