Prediction of local tumor control and recurrence-free survival in patients with pancreatic cancer undergoing curative resection after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Background and Objectives There is little data on the correlation between the reduction in fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) radioactive accumulation and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels with pathological tumor responses (PTRs) and prognosis after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Methods This study was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from 102 patients with resectable (R-) and borderline resectable (BR-) PDAC who received NACRT, followed by curative resection. Data were prospectively collected and compared between the responders and nonresponders to NACRT. Results Patients with 60% or more reduction in maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) on FDG-PET, with 75% or more reduction in CA19-9 levels, or with 50%-100% of tumor cells destroyed due to NACRT had significantly better recurrence-free survival (RFS) than each of the nonresponders (p = 0.028, <0.001, and 0.022, respectively). The reduction rates of SUVmax and CA19-9 levels were correlated with PTR. The combined evaluation of these biomarkers reflected RFS. Conclusions Reduction rates of FDG uptake and CA19-9 levels were preoperative predictors of pathological response to NACRT. These biomarkers of local response had prognostic value in R-PDAC and BR-PDAC. The combined evaluation of these biomarkers allowed for reliable prediction of RFS after surgery.