Prophylactic central lymph node dissection performed selectively with cN0 papillary thyroid carcinoma according to a risk-scoring model

Background: This study aimed to explore the risk factors of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with clinical central lymph node-negative papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), and emphasize the guidance of the risk scoring model for prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) in patients with clinical lymph node-negative (cN0) PTC. Methods: A total of 582 patients with cN0 PTC who underwent unilateral/bilateral thyroidectomy and prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) in the Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from January 2020 to February 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the risk factors of cN0 PTC. According to the independent risk factors of patients with cN0 PTC, a risk-scoring model was established. Then, the rationality of this risk scoring model was verified by additional clinical data of 112 patients with cN0 PTC in the Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from March 2021 to April 2021. Results: Among 582 cases of cN0 PTC, 53.6% of the patients with cN0 had CLNM. The independent risk factors for CLNM in patients with cN0 PTC included male gender, <45 years of age, tumor with a maximum diameter of >_1.0 cm, tumor location: middle/lower poles of the thyroid gland, multifocality, and extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and some ultrasound features, such as intra-nodular vascularity, microcalcification, irregular shape, and infiltrative margin. According to independent risk factors, a 24-point risk scoring model was established to predict CLNM in patients with cN0 PTC. Conclusions: Currently, prophylactic central neck lymph node dissection is a controversial operation, which should be selectively performed only for high-risk patients with cN0 PTC. For cN0 PTC patients with scores >_14 and high-risk patients, even if no CLNM is found before surgery, routine prophylactic CLND is recommended. In addition, for cN0 PTC patients with a score of fewer than 14 points, it is recommended to perform fine-needle aspiration (FNA) before surgery, carefully assess the condition of the central lymph nodes, and then select the best surgical plan based on the results of the assessment.