Risk Factors of Clinical Relapses in Pediatric Luminal Crohn's Disease, a Retrospective Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION: There is currently little knowledge on factors associated with the relapse of Crohn's disease (CD) in children. The aims of this study were to describe the risk factors associated with relapse in pediatric CD and the changes in the relapse rate over the past decade. METHODS: Patients younger than 18 years and diagnosed between 2009 and 2019 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Clinical, endoscopic, histological, and laboratory data, as well as induction and maintenance treatments, were collected from the medical records. Survival analyses and Cox regression models were used to assess the impact of these risk factors on relapse. [GRAPHICS] RESULTS: Six hundred thirty-nine patients were included. There was a decrease in the clinical relapse rate over the past decade: 70.9% of the patients diagnosed between 2009 and 2014 relapsed as compared with 49.1% of the patients diagnosed between 2015 and 2019 (P < 0.0001). The following variables were associated with clinical relapse: female sex (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.52, P = 0.0007), exposure to oral 5-ASA (aHR = 1.44, P = 0.04), use of immunomodulatory agents compared with tumor necrosis factor-alpha inhibitors (methotrexate aHR=1.73, P=0.003; thiopurines aHR=1.63, P = 0.002), presence of granulomas (aHR = 1.34, P = 0.02) and increased eosinophils on intestinal biopsies (aHR=1.36, P=0.02), high levels of C-reactive protein (aHR=1.01, P < 0.0001) and fecal calprotectin (aHR = 1.08, P < 0.0001), and low serum infliximab levels (aHR = 2.32, P = 0.001). DISCUSSION: Relapse of pediatric CD has decreased in the past decade. The risk of relapse is significantly associated with clinical, endoscopic, histological, and laboratory variables and treatment strategies.