The Effect of Anti-Scl-70 Antibody Determination Method on Its Predictive Significance for Interstitial Lung Disease Progression in Systemic Sclerosis

Objective The objective of this study was to assess the predictive significance of anti-Scl-70 (anti-topoisomerase I) antibodies, as determined by three different methods, for decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) within the first year of follow-up in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc)-related interstitial lung disease (ILD). Methods Patients in the Genetics Versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcome Study cohort who had ILD (verified by imaging) and available FVC% at enrollment, plus 12 to 18 months thereafter, were examined. All patients had a disease duration of 5 years or less at enrollment. The annualized percentage change in FVC% at 1 year follow-up was the outcome variable. Anti-Scl-70 antibodies were determined by passive immunodiffusion (ID) against calf thymus extract, chemiluminescent immunoassay (CIA), and line blot immunoassay (LIA). Results Ninety-one patients with a mean disease duration of 2.36 years were included. Anti-Scl-70 antibodies by ID predicted a faster rate of FVC% decline (b = -0.06, P = 0.04). None of the other clinical or serological variables significantly predicted ILD progression. Interestingly, anti-Scl-70 antibodies as determined by CIA and LIA were not significant predictors of FVC decline (P = 0.26 and 0.64, respectively). The observed level of agreement between ID and LIA was moderate (kappa = 0.568), whereas it was good between ID and CIA (kappa = 0.66). Conclusion Anti-Scl-70 antibodies determined by ID predicted faster FVC decline in patients with SSc-related ILD. Notably, both CIA and LIA for the same antibody did not predict rate of FVC decline at their current cutoffs of positivity. The discrepancy observed between anti-Scl-70 antibody assays can have relevant implications for clinical care and trial enrichment strategies in SSc-ILD.