Time course of serum uric acid accumulation and the risk of diabetes mellitus

Background The impact of long-term serum uric acid (SUA) exposure and time course of SUA accumulation on diabetes mellitus (DM) is unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the association of cumulative SUA (cumSUA) exposure and its accumulation time course with risk of DM. Methods This prospective study included 46,434 participants without DM and underwent three examinations at 2006, 2008, and 2010. CumSUA from 2006 to 2010 was calculated, multiplying mean values between consecutive examinations by time intervals between visits. Time course of SUA accumulation was categorized as the slope of SUA versus time from 2006 to 2010, or by splitting the overall accumulation into an early (cumSUA 06-08 ) and late accumulation (cumSUA 08-10 ). Results During 6.99 years of follow-up, we identified 2971 incident DM cases. In the fully adjusted model, a higher risk of DM was observed in participants with the highest quartile of cumSUA (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17–1.46), cumulative burden >0 (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.08–1.40), and with 6 year of hyperuricemia exposure duration (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.01–1.55). When considering the time course of SUA accumulation, participants with a negative slope (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01–1.12), or combined with cumSUA ≥ median and a negative slope had elevated risk of DM (HR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.18–2.11). Conclusions Incident DM risk depends on cumulative exposure of SUA and time course of SUA accumulation. Early SUA accumulation resulted in a greater risk increase compared with later accumulation, emphasizing the importance of optimal SUA control early in life.