Prognostic value of Ki-67 in patients with hypertension and prostate cancer: A real-world study in a Chinese population

Background Prostate cancer is the second most common malignancy in males worldwide, with high mortality, especially when combined with hypertension. Ki-67 is one of the most reliable markers of growth for neoplastic human cell populations. However, the prognostic value of Ki-67 in patients with hypertension and prostate cancer remains unclear.Methods We retrospectively analyzed 296 patients with hypertension and prostate cancer from May 1, 2012, to October 1, 2015. The overall survival was evaluated by Cox regression models and Kaplan-Meier analysis. In addition, a nomogram was established, and the accuracy of the model was assessed by a calibration curve.Results A total of 101 (34.1%) patients died. In the multivariate analysis, being Ki-67(+) was associated with a >5-fold increase in the risk of death (hazard ratio [HR] 5.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.35-10.14, p<0.001) and a 2-fold increase in the risk of progression (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.37-3.10, p<0.001). Multivariate Lasso regression showed that smoking, heart failure, ACS, Ki-67 expression, serum albumin, prognostic nutritional index, surgery, Gealson score, and stage were positively associated with prognosis in patients with prostate cancer. To quantify the contribution of each covariate to the prognosis, a nomogram of the Cox model was generated. The nomogram demonstrated excellent accuracy in estimating the risk of death, with a bootstrap-corrected C index of 0.829. There was also a suitable calibration curve for risk estimation.Conclusions The presence of Ki-67 predicts worsened outcomes for overall mortality. A cross-validated multivariate score including Ki-67 had excellent concordance and efficacy for predicting prostate cancer.